Our Final Midterm Predictions—And Why the Polls May Be Wrong

Hosts Hayden Ludwig, Dan Curry, John Pearman, and Grace Riley break down why Trump and Vance are spending so much time in Texas, why Larry Sabato's crystal ball isn't what campaign professionals actually use, and how the left built a "permanent campaign" machine that turns out low-propensity voters year after year—and what conservatives are doing to catch up.

Then it's the lightning round: Who wins the House? Who holds the Senate? The panel splits on the margins, and one of them is betting against everyone else just to be contrary.

From there, the conversation turns to the polls themselves: the Wedgewood fake-polling scandal that fooled major outlets and aggregators, why early voting and public polling don't mix, why Polymarket odds aren't polls, and the long list of races where Republicans beat their polling by wide margins. Plus: 20,000 possibly non-citizen ballots in California, a box of ballots that turned up at a left-wing group in Maryland, how VoteRef is opening up voter rolls to the public, and whether the Trump administration's late push to check voter rolls against federal citizenship data can work in future cycles.

Bottom line: don't let the polls decide your vote. Get out and vote.

🔗 LINKS
[Restoration News]
Look up your voter registration at [VoteRef]
[Restoring America with Grace Reilly]